Report for Model 17

— for both jointly and separately

2024-11-08

1. Joint Modeling

1.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

1.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum          1       1.01
## LDevsum          1       1.02
## dh0              1       1.00
## dl0              1       1.00
## dl1              1       1.00
## dl2              1       1.00
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1.01

1.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

1.4 WAIC results

LevelH LevelL
DIC 1364.55658 22733.4424
DIC3 1246.39509 22682.1610
PWAIC 83.75423 292.0923
WAIC 1307.00071 22709.9272

2. Separate Modeling of High-Level

2.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

2.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## HDevsum      0.999      0.999
## dh0          0.999      0.999
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 0.999

2.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

2.4 WAIC results

H0b
DIC 1392.95198
DIC3 1260.28425
PWAIC 94.66716
WAIC 1332.37089

3. Separate Modeling for Low-level

3.1 Trace plots for convergence check

The current MCMC setting is:

  • 4000000 iteration;
  • 3000000 burn-in;
  • 1000 thinning.

3.2 Gelman and Rubin’s convergence check

## Potential scale reduction factors:
## 
##         Point est. Upper C.I.
## LDevsum      0.999       1.00
## dl0          1.001       1.01
## dl1          1.004       1.02
## dl2          0.999       1.00
## 
## Multivariate psrf
## 
## 1

3.3 ACF Plots

Here we plotted ACF plots for the following variables:

  • Total deviance;
  • Variables that didn’t pass the convergence check.

3.4 WAIC results

L2
DIC 22588.9643
DIC3 22659.4118
PWAIC 322.1958
WAIC 22695.5826